Equity Research Report : Spotify Technology S.A.
Independent equity research on Spotify, built from scratch with no template and no guidance.
$700
price target
33%
implied upside
Strong Buy
initiation
Overview
Conducted independent equity research on Spotify, initiating coverage at Strong Buy with a $700 price target and 33% implied upside. Built from scratch, no template, no guidance.
Investment Thesis
The thesis centered on three things most analysts were underweighting:
- An underappreciated gross margin inflection as the business mix shifts toward higher-margin verticals
- A durable platform moat with 675 million monthly active users across music, podcasts, and audiobooks
- Multi-layer monetization in early stages, advertising, partnerships, and premium tiers not yet fully priced in
What I Built
- 12-slide investment committee deck with original financial modeling
- DCF valuation with explicit assumptions on margin expansion and revenue growth
- Comparable company analysis across streaming and media peers
- Bull / base / bear scenario analysis with probability-weighted price targets
- Equity research dashboard for ongoing monitoring
Tools & Skills
- Financial modeling, DCF, comps, scenario analysis
- Equity research methodology
- PowerPoint (investment committee presentation format)
- Independent fundamental analysis
What This Demonstrates
- Ability to build a full investment thesis from first principles
- Financial modeling rigor, not just conclusions, but the work behind them
- Communication of complex analysis in a clear, structured format